442. What will happen to Irland 字幕文件

the border between northern Ireland and the republic
is one of the most contentious in the world
thousands have died over it
decided by politics not geography
its irregular shape looks odd
it divides roads
houses in one place
it even separates a church from its graveyard
for an outsider looking at the Irish border
it doesn't make very much sense
but it does have it to incurious logic
so what's the story behind it
and what really divides Ireland
even after 100 years
this border is still deeply sensitive
Ireland’s border was created in 1921
while northern Ireland remained in the United Kingdom
the south left
but to
understand why Ireland was divided in the first place
we need to go back in time
in the sixteen hundreds the British
who were mostly protestants
started colonizing catholic Ireland
they took control of the north
discriminating against Catholics and other dissenters
in 1798 it led to a major rebellion
it was crushed by the British
who decided to adopt a new policy
total control
in 1801
the whole of Ireland became part of the United Kingdom
for protestants in the north it was a huge victory
for Catholics in the south who wanted independence
it was a catastrophe
but it also brought a new opportunity
to influence the British government
there were no Irish MPs going to Westminster
and those people became very
significant players in British politics
Westminster became the stage
for the campaign for home rule for Ireland
with politicians arguing both sides of the debate
and back on the streets of Ireland tensions escalated
in 1916 pro independence Catholics
carried out an armed insurrection
that came to be known as the Easter rising
it triggered further revolution that turned into a war
for independence
with protestant paramilitary groups in the north
fighting to remain part of the United Kingdom
in 1921 the British government ended the war
signing a treaty that
gave Southern Ireland independence
the treaty was signed on December 21st
and Dublin showed its approval
with a colorful parade of gaily enthusiasm
but it wasn't a complete victory for the separatists
the British government
had decided to carve the country in two
while the northern
protestant communities
would remain part of the United Kingdom
the south would be free to rule itself
it radically redrew the map of the United Kingdom
and for the first time
an international border was drawn
between northern Ireland and the south
it was a very
simple and a very crude calculation
as to where the northern Irish border was drawn
it was about trying to have
as many protestants as possible in the north
and as few protestants as possible in the south
that's why the shape of this border
is so highly unusual
partition satisfied no one
Catholics in the south could now govern themselves
but their country had been split in two
protestants in the north had hoped the
whole of Ireland would stay in the United Kingdom
and there was one group that was put in an especially
intolerable position
Catholics in the north arguably lost the most here
they were trapped in a state which they didn't want
they were never
it seemed in 1921 ever going to be
sufficiently numerous to vote their way out of this
over 400,000 Catholics were now trapped on the
wrong side of the border
their plight would trigger decades of bloodshed
in the north anti catholic discrimination became rife
by the late 19 sixties
civil rights demonstrations in America
inspired northern Irish Catholics
to protest peacefully for equality
but police often used brutal force to crush the marches
and loyalist protestants targeted the protests
as well as holding their own marches
in 1969 a confrontation
at a protestant March
sparked days of clashes that spread across
northern Ireland
overwhelmed northern Ireland’s prime minister
asked the British government for help
British troops were sent in
it was the beginning of three
decades of violence in northern Ireland
now called the troubles
in 1972
British soldiers opened fire on catholic protesters
14 died and at least 15 were injured
it became known as bloody Sunday
I was fired on by the paratroopers
and yet parliamentary democracy was such
that I was not allowed to speak
the event radicalized angry Catholics
membership of republican paramilitary groups
such as the IRA swelled
and deadly attacks against protestants
and British troops increased
in my opinion
we cannot do with the Irish republican army
republican power militaries were able
to use that border to their advantage at various points
they could flee across that border
they were able to use it to store weapons
border infrastructure was itself a target as a
symbol of British rule and Ireland
in response
the British armed forces became a permanent presence
at the border
and established bases elsewhere in northern Ireland
the IRA argued they were fighting a military occupation
but loyalist northern Irish malicious
saw the border as protection
against a catholic majority
they attacked those they deemed republican sympathizers
we're going to tarnish turn on the Obama holocaust
a tit for tat campaign of violence began
three car bombs in quick succession
ripped through the village
just a few miles from Londonderry
over the 30 years of the troubles more than
3700 people were killed
many many more were injured
and most
of those who were killed and injured were civilians
as headlines of attacks and atrocities increased
global leaders attempted to promote peace
the history of northern Ireland has been written
in the blood of its children and their parents
in 1998 there was a breakthrough
today we can take a collective breath
and begin to blow away
that's hope the cobwebs of the past
the British and Irish governments and most
of the political parties in northern Ireland
came together
to sign a landmark deal
that became known as the good Friday agreement
the deal removed the hard border
between the two countries
and stated that if majorities in
both north and south wanted to reunite Ireland
they could
the following two decades were relatively stable
in northern Ireland until now
in 2016
the United Kingdom voted to leave the European union
it opted for a complete break
ending free movement of people and goods
as part of the UK
northern Ireland would also have to leave
but with the Republic of Ireland still a member
and the border between the two countries
now fairly open
there was a problem
as they were now governed by different rules
again
the obvious solution was to reestablish a hard border
a move no one wanted
the only other option
would be a de facto trade border in the Irish sea
separating northern Ireland from the rest of the UK
this proposal was called the northern Irish protocol
and it removed the need for a hard border
but northern Irish loyalists weren't happy
we are totally opposed to the protocol
we will neither accept it
nor will we work it
at the same time
increasing numbers of northern Irish
are welcoming unity with the south
there is this growing center grind of people
who may or may not be religious
people who have grown up in peace
who don't understand
the forces which drove northern Ireland into conflict
who don't identify with them
these changes might make a united Ireland more feasible
but they could also reignite old tensions in the north
one of the things which concerns
many people in northern
Ireland whatever their view and Irish unity
is that if we did
have a vote in fever of Irish unity
particularly a narrow vote in fever of Irish unity
that
that could precipitate violence in northern Ireland
and as difficult and fraught as the Brexit process was
in the and rest of the UK
there was never any serious prospect of
riots on the streets of London of people being killed
of bombs going off
in northern Ireland
that would be a very real possibility
and perhaps a probability
thanks for watching
to read more of the economist's coverage of
northern Ireland and the Irish border