Comparison of battery modeling regression methods for application to unmanned aerial vehicles

Jon Ander Martin, Justin N. Ouwerkerk, Anthony P. Lamping, Kelly Cohen

An effective battery prognostics method is fundamental for any application in which batteries have a critical role, such as in unmanned aerial vehicles. Given the batteries' variable nature, effectively predicting their End of Discharge or End of Life can become a difficult task. Therefore, developing an accurate and efficient model becomes a key step of this problem. The framework provided by traditional modeling techniques usually leads to inaccurate results, so newer state-of-the-art methodologies are needed to successfully build a model from a dataset. This paper compares the accuracy and time performance of three existing methods: a maximum likelihood optimal Support Vector Machine, a Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine, and a Fuzzy Inference System. Through this research, we aim to implement a real-time battery prognostics system in an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle. The three methods are used to model a Lithium-ion (Li-ion) battery's discharge curve while accounting for the State of Health of the battery for the estimation of voltage. This paper compares the accuracy and time performance of a maximum likelihood optimal Support Vector Machine, a Bayesian Relevance Vector Machine, and a Fuzzy Inference System for the modeling of Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries' discharge curve. Moreover, the model accounts for the State of Health of the battery for the estimation of voltage. We show that the three methodologies are valid for the modeling of the discharge curve with similar accuracy values. The Relevance Vector Machine proves to be the most computationally efficient method.

傳統(tǒng)建模技術(shù)提供的框架通常會(huì)導(dǎo)致不準(zhǔn)確的結(jié)果，因此需要更新的最先進(jìn)的方法來(lái)成功地從數(shù)據(jù)集中建立一個(gè)模型。本文比較了三種現(xiàn)有方法的準(zhǔn)確性和時(shí)間性能：最大似然最優(yōu)支持向量機(jī)、貝葉斯相關(guān)性向量機(jī)和模糊推理系統(tǒng)。通過(guò)這項(xiàng)研究，我們的目標(biāo)是在無(wú)人駕駛飛行器中實(shí)現(xiàn)一個(gè)實(shí)時(shí)的電池預(yù)知系統(tǒng)。這三種方法被用來(lái)對(duì)鋰離子電池的放電曲線(xiàn)進(jìn)行建模，同時(shí)考慮到電池的健康狀態(tài)來(lái)估計(jì)電壓。

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