最近，社交媒體上出現(xiàn)了一些關(guān)于“海底光纜被切斷”的消息，有說(shuō)是美國(guó)擁有的海底光纜被切斷的，也有說(shuō)是歐亞海底光纜被切斷的。盡管相互矛盾，但這些消息無(wú)一不指向與美國(guó)相關(guān)的陰謀論。

許多人在討論，但是他們忽略了一個(gè)非常重要的前提：最近是否有海底光纜被破壞？

接下來(lái)，我將對(duì)“歐亞海底光纜被切斷”這一說(shuō)法進(jìn)行證偽。

為不耐心的讀者先上結(jié)論：近期關(guān)于海底光纜被切斷的消息的真實(shí)性微乎其微。

下面是以關(guān)鍵詞 “Submarine Cable Disruption” 在 Google 于 2023 年 6 月 24 日搜索近一周內(nèi)的消息的結(jié)果：

如圖所示，近一周的消息里并沒(méi)有任何關(guān)于海底光纜被破壞的事實(shí)報(bào)道。

接下來(lái)，我將對(duì)這篇文章提到的消息進(jìn)行分析，哪怕是瞎掰的那也總有出處吧。

目前，正在運(yùn)作的歐亞海底光纜系統(tǒng)共有九個(gè)：

PEACE

Asia Africa Europe-1 (AAE-1)

Middle East North Africa (MENA) Cable System/Gulf Bridge International

SeaMeWe-3

FLAG Europe-Asia (FEA)

IMEWE

Europe India Gateway (EIG)

SeaMeWe-5

SeaMeWe-4

下表是這九個(gè)海纜系統(tǒng)的詳細(xì)信息：

在這其中，符合“連接埃及北部的亞歷山大和意大利南部的西西里島”的條件的歐亞海纜系統(tǒng)共有四個(gè)：

SeaMeWe-3

SeaMeWe-4

IMEWE

FLAG Europe-Asia (FEA)

在 Google 以關(guān)鍵詞“Submarine Cable Disruption”進(jìn)行搜索，我很快便發(fā)現(xiàn)一起與該文描述的事件十分相似的海底光纜故障事件。

上文的一處詭異行文令我注意到了這個(gè)段落，上文提到的“法國(guó)電信”在 2013 年便已改名為 Orange ，為什么要對(duì)一起發(fā)生在 2023 年的事件的相關(guān)實(shí)體使用其 2013 年之前的舊名稱呢？

現(xiàn)在我明白了，這個(gè)頁(yè)面描述的事情發(fā)生在 2008 年，所以此處使用“France Telecom”，而上文的編者并不明白法國(guó)電信和 Orange 的聯(lián)系，所以在搬運(yùn)的時(shí)候并沒(méi)有將法國(guó)電信改為 Orange 。

根據(jù)該維基頁(yè)面的引用列表，我還找到了對(duì)這起事件的原始報(bào)道所在的頁(yè)面。

三條重要的歐亞海底光纜同時(shí)遭到破壞，承擔(dān)著中東、歐洲以及美國(guó)間75%的國(guó)際通信流量的這些光纜被切斷。其中一條光纜連接了埃及北部的亞歷山大和意大利南部的西西里島，具體位置位于西西里島和突尼斯之間的西西里外海。這場(chǎng)意外事件導(dǎo)致埃及互聯(lián)網(wǎng)陷入癱瘓，80%的網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)中斷。

On 19 December 2008 France Telecom issued a press release stating that the FLAG Telecom, SEA-ME-WE 4, and SEA-ME-WE 3 cables, linking Alexandria, Egypt, Sicily, and Malta, had been cut by either bad weather conditions or a ship's anchor, resulting in substantial slowdowns in communication traffic, with Egypt experiencing an overall 80% reduction in Internet capacity. (2008 submarine cable disruption - Wikipedia)

Three international submarine cables in the Mediterranean Sea were damaged on 19 December, causing significant disruptions to internet and phone traffic in the Middle East, India and all of the Gulf states. The location of the fault was thought to have occurred between Tunisia and Italy. The three damaged cables are the Flag Europe-Asia cable, operated by global data network operator Reliance Globalcom, and two consortium cables, SeaMeWe-3 and SeaMeWe-4 owned jointly by several telecommunications companies. Additionally, there were reports that the GO-1 cable connecting Malta with Sicily had been damaged on the evening of 18 December. It was not immediately known if the outages were connected. As member of the SeaMeWe consortia, France Telecom immediately alerted one of the two maintenance boats based in the Mediterranean area, the Raymond Croze. It should be on location on Monday morning for a relief mission. Priority will be given to the recovery of the Sea Me We4 cable, then on the Sea Me We3. By 25 December, Sea Me We4 could be operating. By 31 December, the situation should be back to normal. The current series of faults is reminiscent of the submarine cable faults that occurred in January 2008. (Mediterrean submarine cables are cut, affecting internet - Telecompaper)

破案了，就是從這里抄來(lái)的。