state space modeling
In financial trading, the state space refers to the set of all possible states or conditions that a financial asset may be in. This can include various factors such as price movements, patterns, trend indicators, technical indicators, and other relevant information.
For example, let's consider a stock with a hypothetical state space consisting of four possible states: an uptrend, a downtrend, a ranging market, and a turning point. A trader might use technical analysis tools to identify which state the stock is currently in, based on factors such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, and other indicators. The trader may then develop specific trading strategies for each state, based on their risk tolerance, investment goals, and market analysis.
To learn more about state space modeling and its applications in financial trading, I recommend checking out the following resources:
"State Space Models: Applications in Economics and Finance" by Andrew C. Harvey - This book provides an introduction to state space models and their applications in economics and finance, including time-series forecasting, asset pricing, and portfolio optimization.
"Quantitative Trading: How to Build Your Own Algorithmic Trading Business" by Ernie Chan - This book provides practical guidance on building algorithmic trading systems using quantitative methods, including state space modeling.
"Advances in Financial Machine Learning" by Marcos Lopez de Prado - This book covers cutting-edge techniques and tools for applying machine learning to financial trading, including state space modeling and other advanced modeling approaches.