Is it possible that in the near future, Vietnam will be like China, Japan, or South Korea?

越南有可能在不久的將來發(fā)展得像中國(guó)日本韓國(guó)一樣嗎？

評(píng)論翻譯

Richard Seeto, because of my interest in its history and the way it has been exploited & rubbis
As I have written before, nothing is impossible in this world.
However, for a country such as Vietnam, in order to develop itself like China, Japan or South Korea. it has to practice self control, self discipline and work like heck like China when she was poor and penniless after the rape of Japan’s horrendous invasion and destruction of the country and prior to that by the combined European and American rapine.
In a way, Vietnam suffered the same horrors as China because of the senseless invasion by America and its bribed allies of Australia, Japan, Korea and others who collectively killed and destroyed with reckless abandon and that which they cannot destroy, poisoned; which results and effects are still being felt in rural cities such as Hue with many disfigured unborn for which the invaders and destroyers refused to take responsibility to this day.
China, Japan and South Korea have risen from the ashes of war and if these nations have shown the way, Vietnam surely can do the same.
The question is, will Vietnam have the political will and the co-operation of its people to tackle the hard yards to get there?
I have seen too many poor families whose children prefer to tap unceasingly on their iphones till 1, 2, to 3 pm in the night and then to sleep till 3:00pm the following day and this is repeated day after day especially during their long school holidays instead of putting their nose to the grind stone, studiously learning a trade or doing something to have gainful employment or to earn their daily bread.
Poor as some of these families are, yet their kids will have nothing but branded products such as Apple iPhones and Honda motor scooters and Nike shoes and clothes etc. etc.
Nor do they exercise their lazy bones to keep fit and healthy.
Some are so lazy and indolent that at the age of 16 and 17, they don’t even know how to cook a nutritious meal for themselves but the parents slave themselves to give them money to buy their food which does not include fruit or vegetables.
How can anyone be healthy enough and have the right mentality and constitution to do the hard yards and think of bettering their own conditions and that of the country in which they live?
So, what to do?
Schools and all institutions of learning have a duty to instill in its students firstly to take responsibility for their own decisions and actions.
They should instill in them the love of their country that they consume responsibly and not overeat which not only causes indolence and obesity but bad for health and longevity.
Practice in their daily lives not to be wasteful of anything and not to throw rubbish everywhere as it not only pollute the very environment in which they live but also create an ugly picture of their habitat.
Repeat the mantra for every child: Early to bed and early to rise, don’t smoke or drink unhealthy soda which give diabetes and grow strong and healthy to make your nation great. Treat everyone with respect.
Encourage the people to help keep their streets clean and repair any holes or cracks in the road and street that they can and not expect the government to do everything for them.
Above all, begin the greening of all government instrumentalities by removing corruption which acts like an opiate on the populace by numbing their mentality of “why should I care when government officials can rob and steal at will”
It has been reported that government officials of Vietnam has openly said that: “If we are not corrupt, we are not the government”
The government, encouraged by America and the West, is borrowing heavily overseas money to buy their second rate arms to oppose China with little left to even maintain decent street roads to make life a little easier for the people.
That being the case, how long do you think it will take Vietnam to even reach the first stage of China’s or any other country’s development?
I was requested to write a similar article for the development of India and did not get even one response.
That’s o.k. And I realise that I have hit home with some home truths.
Some countries think that just because they’re a democracy, they will automatically get there.
Well, you and I know the truth, folks.

我以前就說過，在這個(gè)世界上沒有什么是不可能的。
然而，對(duì)于越南這樣的國(guó)家，想要把自己發(fā)展到中國(guó)、日本、韓國(guó)這樣的水平，它必須能自控、自律，并且像中國(guó)一樣拼，比如中國(guó)以前一貧如洗，在那之前又被歐洲和美國(guó)掠奪蹂躪，又被日本侵略破壞，中國(guó)就是很拼才發(fā)展起來的。

在某種程度上，越南遭受了與中國(guó)同樣的災(zāi)難，因?yàn)槊绹?guó)及澳大利亞、日本、韓國(guó)等盟國(guó)肆無忌憚地進(jìn)行了侵略，他們進(jìn)行了屠殺和破壞，而它們無法摧毀的東西則投毒，其結(jié)果和影響仍可以在許多地方如順化感覺到。許多未出生的孩子被毀容，侵略者和破壞者至今拒絕承擔(dān)責(zé)任。

中國(guó)、日本和韓國(guó)已經(jīng)從戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的廢墟中崛起，這些國(guó)家已經(jīng)指明了道路，越南肯定也能做到這一點(diǎn)。
問題是，越南是否有政治意愿，是否能和人民合作一起解決困難來達(dá)成目標(biāo)?

我見過太多的貧困家庭，他們的孩子寧愿玩手機(jī)到半夜然后睡到下午3點(diǎn)，這種情況日復(fù)一日地重復(fù)著，尤其是在他們漫長(zhǎng)的學(xué)校假期中，他們不愿意刻苦努力，不去學(xué)一下貿(mào)易或?qū)W些能找到工作的知識(shí)。
有些家庭很窮，但是他們的孩子除了品牌產(chǎn)品，如蘋果的iphone，本田的摩托車，耐克的鞋子和衣服等等之外，什么都沒有。

我曾被邀請(qǐng)為印度的發(fā)展寫一篇類似的文章，但沒有得到任何回復(fù)。
沒關(guān)系。我意識(shí)到我已經(jīng)用一些真理擊中了要害。
一些國(guó)家認(rèn)為，僅僅因?yàn)樗麄兪且粋€(gè)民主國(guó)家，他們就會(huì)自動(dòng)實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)。
呵呵，我們都知道真相。

Duy Inoue Le
Vietnam is not buying any second hand weapon from the west lol ; the coast guars ship are gift ; the drone is kind of give from us mod ; the indian gift us 500 mil to buy they weapon but we didnt used it only used the early. 100 mil to buy few patroal boat for coast guard + most of the govt budget go to education 22-25% + about kid on smartphone most of us go to sleep early during school year (12) normal it 10-11pm that we go to sleep ; but now day it abit more late cause we study up to 10-11pm at teacher house or center ( city kid ) then do homework and go to sleep ，even in holiday period we dont go to sleep at 3 am lol . So either you dont know ant vietnamese student or you only meet vietnamese american and think they are same at vietnamese who live in vietnam lol or you only meet really bad kid ( and those kid arw minority who smoke and go club which every country have those minoritu bad kid lol )

越南沒有從西方買二手武器。海岸警衛(wèi)船是其他國(guó)家送的。無人機(jī)是美國(guó)國(guó)防部給的。印度給我們5億美元買武器，但我們沒有用，而是用了早期的貸款。1億美元為海岸警衛(wèi)隊(duì)買幾艘巡邏船，政府大部分預(yù)算用于教育22-25%，關(guān)于孩子玩手機(jī)，我們大多數(shù)人在學(xué)齡都早睡，正常情況下，我們?cè)?0-11點(diǎn)睡覺；但如今睡得稍微晚一些，因?yàn)槲覀儗W(xué)習(xí)到10-11點(diǎn)，然后做家庭作業(yè)才睡覺。即使在節(jié)假日，我們也不會(huì)在凌晨3點(diǎn)睡覺。所以要么你不認(rèn)識(shí)什么越南學(xué)生，要么你只認(rèn)識(shí)越南裔美國(guó)人，并認(rèn)為他們和住在越南的越南人一樣，要么你只認(rèn)識(shí)非常壞的孩子（那些吸煙去酒吧的孩子是少數(shù)，每個(gè)國(guó)家都有少數(shù)壞孩子）。

Richard Seeto
My friend, I never said, second hand. Read my post again. It is SECOND RATE.
Do you think America will sell you their F-22 or F-35s?
And India will sell you their latest ICBMs.
Check the gifts they give you. Mostly hand-me-downs and the $500 mil gift is a ruse to encourage you to buy more and more of the Indian kind of arms that they are willing to sell you.
Bet you cannot use that $500 mil to buy arms from any other country but India.
Have you read that Indians are now saying that your Vietnamese men are so ugly that all your women folks prefer to marry them?
If there’s one thing you should never forget and it is this:
THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A FREE LUNCH AND EVERY GIFT COMES WITH A STRING ATTACHED EVEN THOUGH IT DOES NOT APPEAR SO AT THE TIME.
Do whatever at your own peril.

朋友，我從來沒有說過二手武器。再讀一遍我的文章，我說的是二流。
你認(rèn)為美國(guó)會(huì)把F-22或F -35賣給你們嗎?
印度會(huì)向你們*************嗎？
看看他們給你們的禮物。大部分是舊的，5億美元的禮物是一個(gè)詭計(jì)，鼓勵(lì)你們購(gòu)買更多印度愿意賣給你們的武器。
我打賭你們不能用這5億美元從印度以外的其他國(guó)家購(gòu)買武器。
你讀過印度人文章嗎，他們說你們的越南男人很丑，你們的女人寧愿嫁給印度人?
有一件你永遠(yuǎn)不應(yīng)該忘記的事，那就是:天下沒有免費(fèi)的午餐。
做任何事都要自負(fù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。

Ngoc Diep Hoang, former Worked and Lived in Vietnam for More Than 20 Years
Anything is possible if we talk about the future.
However, with the current power system under the Vietnamese Communist Party (VCP), especially since the VCP's “doi moi" policy - an open-up policy in the late 1980s, the country has faced many increasing crisis, namely: uncontrollable corruptions from top to bottom officials; uncontrollable national debts; abusive of power against conscientious voices; environmental damages due to reckless and corrupted approvals of overseas industrial projects, losing its sea territory and its natural resources to China, etc. with no sign of any workable strategy or policy to address them.
For 30 years, the VCP has proved its incompetencies. and it has gradually worsen in the past 15 years. Therefore, Vietnam must change its power system first. And even if Vietnam could change its power system and ridden of the VCP, it would take at least a few decades before it can see any significant growth.
Let's hope it will change soon. But only… with very little ground for hope.

如果我們談?wù)撐磥淼脑?，那么一切皆有可能?br/>然而，在越南目前的權(quán)力體系下，特別是自從1980年代后期越南的“改革開放”政策以來，越南面臨著許多日益嚴(yán)重的危機(jī)，即:自上而下的官員腐敗已經(jīng)不可控；國(guó)家債務(wù)已經(jīng)不可控；濫用權(quán)力反對(duì)良心的聲音；由于不顧后果的發(fā)展、由于腐敗而批準(zhǔn)的海外工業(yè)項(xiàng)目而造成嚴(yán)重的環(huán)境破壞，被中國(guó)奪取領(lǐng)海和自然資源，這些問題沒有任何可行的戰(zhàn)略或政策來解決。
30年來，越南已經(jīng)證明了它的無能。在過去的15年里，情況逐漸惡化。因此，越南必須首先改變其權(quán)利體系。即使越南能夠改變其權(quán)利體系，并利用VCP，并擺脫越南，它也至少需要幾十年才能看到顯著的增長(zhǎng)。
希望它能很快改變。但只有……幾乎沒有希望。

Ng? Xuan K?, lives in Vietnam (1996-present)
Firstly, China is in a different group from South Korea and Japan. The former still has a lot of room to grow while the other two are near their peak with much slower growth.
Secondly, the gap in living standard between Vietnam and the likes of South Korea and Japan is gigantic and cannot be closed in the near future, even with a growth rate of 7% a year.
Vietnam’s estimated PPP GDP per capita in 2050 is $28200, way behind Japan’s ($63100) and South Korea’s ($70000)

首先，中國(guó)不同于韓國(guó)和日本。中國(guó)仍有很大的增長(zhǎng)空間，而韓國(guó)和日本則接近頂峰，增長(zhǎng)速度要慢得多。
其次，越南與韓國(guó)、日本等國(guó)的生活水平差距巨大，即使以每年7%的速度增長(zhǎng)，也無法在近期消除。
預(yù)估越南2050年的人均GDP購(gòu)買力平價(jià)為28200美元，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)落后于日本(63100美元)和韓國(guó)(70000美元)。

Jonathan Buttall
I’ll learn more in a few weeks, when we visit Vietnam. Developing countries are mostly doing well and it takes time to achieve what Japan and South Korea did, so I agree with your answer.

當(dāng)我去越南時(shí)，我在幾個(gè)星期的時(shí)間里學(xué)到了很多。發(fā)展中國(guó)家大多做得很好，但要想實(shí)現(xiàn)日本和韓國(guó)的成就需要時(shí)間，所以我同意你的回答。

Nguy?n V?n ??ng, Bachelor Real Estate (2017)
The question is so broad that I alone can not answer. Please note that my answer bases on economic growth aspect only.
If “near future” means under a decade period, I can assure that it’s mostly impossible.
We dont need economic statistics to find out the gasp. China and Japan are the top largest economic center of the world. Vietnam is such a small piece in the table.
Vietnam is developing fast 6.2% gdp growth. But in a decade or two, those countries are still far ahead.

這個(gè)問題太寬泛了，我一個(gè)人無法回答。請(qǐng)注意，我的回答僅基于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方面。
如果“不久的將來”指的是不到十年的時(shí)間，我敢保證這幾乎是不可能的。
我們不需要經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)就能找到答案。中國(guó)和日本是世界上最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)中心。越南在其中只占很小的一塊。越南GDP增長(zhǎng)是6.2%。未來10年或20年，這些國(guó)家仍遙遙領(lǐng)先。